Massive Tongan Eruption Sends Tsunamis Across the Pacific

A massive underwater volcano erupted Saturday, January, 15th near the remote Tonga nation in the south Pacific. The eruption generated immediate buzz across the internet from dramatic satellite imagery and tsunami warnings spread as far as the west coast of the United States. The massive Tonga-Hunga Ha’apai volcano is particularly active, and smaller hydromagnetic eruptions like this event are commonly observed. The violent eruption is generated from a flash vaporization chemical reaction between extruded magma and seawater, causing an explosion. The United States Geological Survey measured the resulting shockwaves as a 5.8 magnitude earthquake. 

The volcano lies 40 miles away from Tonga’s main island, Tongatapu, and its eruption was heard in New Zealand as far as 1,400 miles away. The violent eruption generated a volcanic plume of ash, gas, and steam extending more than 12 miles into the atmosphere, where satellite images were able to reveal their expanse over the event duration and indicate the presence of tsunamis. 

A four-foot tsunami wave crashed into the Tongan capital on its northernmost island, Nuku'alofa, where boats and debris washed ashore. Videos across social media captured the powerful wave easily overcoming seawalls, roads, and fences inundating people’s properties. The impending threat left many Tongan residents rushing to higher ground as tsunamis can often increase with each generated wave. The eruption impacted undersea cable networks leaving many areas of Tonga in a blackout, impacting the island nation’s telecommunications. 

Tsunamis spread rapidly across the Pacific, extending warnings to Japan, Hawai’i, American Samoa, Chile, and the west coast of the USA. Waves up to 5 feet arrived Sunday morning in Chile, Japan, and California ports. Witnesses described the incoming tsunamis as water surges instead of the giant waves depicted in popular films like San Andreas (2015). 

New Zealand has committed an initial aid of more than $300,000 in supplies, technical support, and defense assistance. The eruption is one of the biggest to occur within the last decade, according to the volcanic explosivity index (VEI), used by volcanologists to categorize eruption scale. The VEI measures the plume height and quantity of ejected materials like ash, gas, and magma following an eruption. A VEI closer to 6 would indicate one of the rarest and largest eruptions, capable of sending materials high into the atmosphere generating global cooling effects as sunlight is reflected away from Earth’s surface. Scientists previously estimated this volcano to be capable of only producing eruptions up to a maximum of 2 VEI, but the recent event has not yet been measured. 

IPCC Climate Change Report Finds That Major Climate Changes Are Inevitable and Irreversible

The United Nations formed the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) to inform national governments about the science and potential impacts of climate change. Humans have heated the planet by roughly 1.1°C since the 19th century, mainly from burning coal, oil, and gas for energy. 

The consequences of global warming can be seen this summer alone, with heatwaves across the US and Canada, floods devastating Germany and China, and wildfires are raging out of control across the world. Unless immediate, rapid, and large-scale action is taken to reduce emissions, the report says, the average global temperature is likely to reach or cross the 1.5°C warming threshold within 20 years. 

Some key points from the IPCC report:

• Global surface temperature was 1.09C higher in the decade between 2011-2020 than between 1850-1900.

• The past five years have been the hottest on record since 1850

• The recent rate of sea level rise has nearly tripled compared with 1901-1971

• Human influence is "very likely" (90%) the main driver of the global retreat of glaciers since the 1990s and the decrease in Arctic sea-ice

• It is "virtually certain" that hot extremes including heat waves have become more frequent and more intense since the 1950s, while cold events have become less frequent and less severe

While this report is more clear and confident about the downsides to warming, the scientists are more hopeful that if we can cut global emissions in half by 2030 and reach net zero by the middle of this century, we can halt and possibly reverse the rise in temperatures. 

Reaching net-zero involves reducing greenhouse gas emissions as much as possible using clean technology, then burying any remaining releases using carbon capture and storage or absorbing them by planting trees.

According to a draft of an upcoming IPCC scientific report, some lifestyle changes could also cut emissions twice the size of Brazil’s current emissions by 2030. Changes include heating and cooling set-point adjustments, reducing appliance use, shifting to human-centered mobility and public transit, reduced air travel, and improved recycling. The draft IPCC found that individual behavior change in isolation cannot reduce greenhouse gas emissions significantly, but individuals can contribute to overcoming barriers and enable climate change mitigations. 

The full second report, set to be released in 2022, will detail how climate change might affect human society, such as coastal cities, farms, or health care systems. A third report, also expected next year, will explore more fully strategies to reduce greenhouse gas emissions and halt global warming.

Heavy Job Losses Causes Employment Crisis in the First Half of 2021 in Myanmar

Estimates released by the International Labour Organization (ILO) suggest that Myanmar is experiencing significant deterioration in its labor market conditions since the military took power in February this year. The economy is already weakened by the COVID-19 pandemic, with over 60,000 workers across the country losing their jobs due to factory shutdowns caused by canceled orders and the COVID-19 pandemic's disruption of raw material supplies.

The United Nations estimates that employment contracted 6% in the second quarter of 2021 compared to the fourth quarter of 2020, reflecting 1.2 million job losses. In the first half of 2021, an estimated 14% of working hours were lost, which is equivalent to the working time of at least 2.2 million full-time workers. In terms of both working-hour and employment losses, women are estimated to have been impacted more than men.

Many sectors have been hard hit following the military takeover. In the first half of 2021, employment in construction, garments, and tourism, and hospitality decreased by an estimated 35%, 31%, and 25%, respectively, with even higher relative losses in working hours. 

Tourism and hospitality, still impacted by the slowdown in 2020 caused by COVID-19, have been unable to recover and took a further hit since the military takeover. Most international flights and visa issues have remained suspended due to COVID-19 and security concerns, and domestic travel has largely ceased. 

Circumstances since February 2021 might have forced or incentivized a large number of workers to reduce their working hours, with associated income losses, adding to the adverse impacts on a labor market that had already come under severe strain as a result of the COVID-19 pandemic. 

Factors that might have played a role include curfews and other restrictions imposed by the military regime, fear of exposure to violence when going to and being at the workplace, electricity and internet cuts, greater security risks for businesses, a decrease in consumer demand, as well as large-scale worker strikes.